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Cake day: February 13th, 2026

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  • I assume that the new agreement would involve more concrete conditions and responsibilities

    And what happens when (not if) the Trump administration (or some even worse successor) ignores those concrete conditions and responsibilities? Is Ukraine going to sue the USA in international court while they’re being overrun?

    There’s no ‘security guarantee’ out there anymore that could possibly be worth the paper it’s written on.

    If I were in charge of Ukraine right now, I’d be looking for ‘security guarantees’ in the form of mutual defense pacts with other countries in the region that could be in a similar situation. Poland, Finland, etc. Those might actually have your back, since they know that they’re next if you fall.